NHS Call to Action
All the leading NHS bodies have produced a document saying the NHS needs to change to survive. This is the NHS Call to Action.
It sums up the financial and demographic difficulties that the NHS must overcome. The signatories include NHS England, Public Health England, Monitor, the CQC, and many more.
It reflects the challenges facing the NHS in Warrington, and why we are making innovative changes.
To read more about how these challenges are present in Warrington, click here.
Ageing and Multiple Illnesses
It is projected that Warrington will have 19,000 people aged 75+ by 2020 (increase from 14,000 in 2011), which is 8% higher than the national average, based on the town's Joint Strategic Needs Assessment.
Older people in Warrington experience a greater excess burden of ill-health, compared with the average for England (measured using mortality rates).
In Warrington there are stark health inequalities associated with long term conditions with people on low income or living in deprived areas more likely to be affected.
The estimated prevalence in Warrington of the three most common conditions for those aged 16 and up.
Cardiovascular disease is 11.2% of the adult population (APHO, 2011). An estimated 19.0% of the adult population are active smokers and 22.9% are obese
Diabetes is 7.0% of the adult population (APHO Diabetes Prevalence Model, 2010), rising to 7.9% by 2020 and 8.9% by 2030.
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease is 2.9%. Standardised Admission Ratio (SAR) for unscheduled levels of admission for Warrington are reducing but remain slightly above the England average level.
The number of people diagnosed with dementia is 996. However, modelled estimates suggest actual prevalence may be almost 2,100 and it is forecasted to rise to between 3,400 and 3,900 by 2026.
Rates of unplanned or emergency admissions to hospital amongst the over 65’s are significantly higher than the average for England.
Within Warrington, older people experience a greater excess burden of ill-health, compared with the average for England (measured using mortality rates).
The Mental Health Foundation (2012) estimates that between 10–16% of elderly people in the community have depression, rising to about 40% of older people in residential and nursing care homes.